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Red38
70910.0
42313.7
1058416.3
Blue40
680818.1
140325.4
540124.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3780020601001201403840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
14Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
38Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.4
14.814.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 9.1
1403
#26
25.42.5
29.627.1
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
Second
423
#32
13.70.4
13.513.1
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 11.2
5401
#13
24.92.5
26.123.6
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
Third
709
#31
10.00.4
8.48.0
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 8.0
18.12.7
14.812.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed