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Red98
108929.0
253952.5
21809.8
Blue96
32138.0
70838.8
1065321.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881024060801201401609896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+2
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
66Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
98Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.51.3
47.648.9
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 13.7
708
#4
38.80.5
34.935.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
Second
29.01.3
26.527.8
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 9.0
321
#14
38.00.5
34.434.9
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Third
2180
#27
9.81.3
8.09.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 11.7
21.60.5
20.320.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed