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Qual 562025 FMA District Hatboro-Horsham Event
Red92
1007019.5
31634.2
540718.1
Blue204
34157.3
192348.2
121836.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771515010020092204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+84
Endgame+96
Fouls+112
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points40
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +56
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
12Processor points24
16Net points32
28Algae points56
76Total teleop132
Reef
6L4#13
3L3#9
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +112
2Foul points18
92Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#18
34.20.5
31.3→30.8
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
blue by 23.1
341
#2
57.32.7
52.4→55.1
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
Second
10070
#15
19.50.5
22.8→22.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
blue by 28.6
1923
#12
48.22.7
45.4→48.0
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
Third
5407
#22
18.10.5
20.8→20.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 18.7
1218
#6
36.82.7
32.6→35.3
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned