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Red64
86244.3
428520.4
1017010.0
Blue62
116826.9
568419.2
42715.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815002040601001201406462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
34Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
64Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#3
44.30.8
44.043.2
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
red by 17.3
1168
#25
26.91.0
23.724.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Second
4285
#21
20.40.8
19.118.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
red by 1.3
5684
#19
19.21.0
17.318.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Third
10.00.8
10.29.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 5.8
427
#29
15.81.0
8.69.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned5%Barge oddsEarned