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Red138
259043.6
518135.4
680818.1
Blue63
223414.6
43320.3
209513.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87330206010012014013863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+71Teleop
+69Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
17Coral scored#7
61Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
95Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
6Foul points0
138Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#10
43.64.7
33.337.9
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
red by 23.3
433
#28
20.32.0
17.719.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Second
5181
#11
35.44.7
29.334.0
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
red by 20.8
2234
#20
14.62.0
11.913.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.6
Third
18.14.7
12.116.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 4.9
2095
#17
13.12.0
9.211.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsEarned