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Red35
260747.6
255911.9
1007019.5
Blue86
622632.5
70910.0
192348.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91960501502003586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
20Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
2Foul points0
35Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.64.1
45.341.2
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
blue by 0.5
1923
#12
48.20.2
48.047.9
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
Second
19.53.8
22.418.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
blue by 13.0
32.50.2
32.031.9
Auto5.2
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Third
2559
#30
11.94.1
16.111.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
red by 1.9
709
#31
10.00.2
8.07.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed