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Red85
140325.4
540718.1
255911.9
Blue148
260747.6
31634.2
428520.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61104020408012014016085148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+83
Endgame+81
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +62
6Coral scored#18
22Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
12Processor points18
4Net points16
16Algae points34
38Total teleop100
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#10
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
34Foul points16
85Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#26
25.41.7
27.125.4
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
blue by 22.2
47.62.1
41.243.2
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
5407
#22
18.11.7
20.318.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 16.1
316
#18
34.22.1
30.832.9
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Third
2559
#30
11.91.7
11.910.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 8.5
4285
#21
20.42.1
18.420.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed