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Red113
70838.8
209513.1
518135.4
Blue102
32138.0
70910.0
116826.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9172406080100120140160113102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+3Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
80Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
113Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#4
38.82.0
35.537.4
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
red by 0.8
321
#14
38.02.2
34.937.1
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
5181
#11
35.42.0
34.035.9
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
red by 8.5
1168
#25
26.92.2
24.726.8
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Third
2095
#17
13.12.0
11.213.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
red by 3.1
709
#31
10.02.2
7.810.0
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed