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Red157
34157.3
255911.9
253952.5
Blue62
428520.4
108929.0
140325.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317205010015020015762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+67Teleop
+79Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
90Total teleop51
Reef
9L4#2
6L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +95
16Foul points0
157Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.30.5
55.656.2
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 28.3
29.00.3
29.028.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
52.50.5
50.851.3
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 27.1
1403
#26
25.40.3
25.425.2
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
Third
2559
#30
11.90.5
10.210.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 8.5
4285
#21
20.40.3
20.520.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6