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Red130
259043.6
42715.8
260747.6
Blue110
121836.8
1007019.5
32138.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410280120140130110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
79Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#7
9L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
130Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.8
43.244.1
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
red by 9.6
321
#14
38.00.3
37.137.4
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
2590
#10
43.60.8
39.240.0
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
red by 6.8
36.80.3
35.836.1
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Third
427
#29
15.80.8
11.412.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 3.7
19.50.3
18.618.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8