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Red86
428520.4
108929.0
140325.4
Blue116
121836.8
1007019.5
32138.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610705015086116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
75Total teleop88
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
86Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.3
28.729.0
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 9.0
321
#14
38.00.5
37.437.9
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
1403
#26
25.40.3
25.225.4
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
blue by 11.3
36.80.5
36.136.6
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Third
4285
#21
20.40.3
20.220.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
red by 0.9
19.50.5
18.919.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8