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Red111
116826.9
622632.5
540124.9
Blue60
680818.1
540718.1
518135.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978205015011160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
86Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
111Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.6
32.232.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.2
End2.1
blue by 2.9
5181
#11
35.40.3
35.635.4
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
Second
1168
#25
26.90.6
26.627.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 8.8
5407
#22
18.10.3
18.318.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
5401
#13
24.90.6
24.625.2
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
red by 6.8
18.10.3
18.318.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5