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Red161
34157.3
255911.9
253952.5
Blue134
259043.6
42715.8
260747.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810050150200161134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
36Coral points34
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#15
51Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
79Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#6
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +27
20Foul points0
161Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.30.5
56.256.7
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 9.7
47.60.8
44.144.9
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
52.50.5
51.351.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 8.9
2590
#10
43.60.8
40.040.8
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
2559
#30
11.90.5
10.811.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 3.8
427
#29
15.80.8
12.213.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0