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Red129
86244.3
568419.2
192348.2
Blue123
70838.8
1058416.3
31634.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269250150200129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#19
58Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
82Total teleop90
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
129Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
48.20.4
48.148.5
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
red by 9.4
708
#4
38.80.7
37.638.3
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
Second
862
#3
44.30.4
44.244.6
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
red by 10.1
316
#18
34.20.7
33.133.8
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Third
5684
#19
19.20.4
19.119.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
red by 2.8
16.30.7
15.215.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4