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Red145
259043.6
42715.8
260747.6
Blue79
116826.9
622632.5
540124.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098940608010012014016018020014579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+64Teleop
+68Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +47
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
95Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points8
145Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.9
44.945.8
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
red by 15.1
32.50.3
32.832.5
Auto5.2
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Second
2590
#10
43.60.9
40.841.7
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
red by 16.6
1168
#25
26.90.3
27.226.9
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Third
427
#29
15.80.9
13.013.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 9.1
5401
#13
24.90.3
25.224.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3