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Red103
99938.5
518153.4
121856.5
Blue56
8169.7
164032.6
99899.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15463010020025010356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
61Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
12Foul points0
103Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.53.8
67.063.2
Auto15.9
Teleop31.3
End9.3
red by 23.9
1640
#17
32.61.6
39.738.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End2.7
Second
53.43.8
59.956.0
Auto9.1
Teleop40.2
End4.1
red by 43.7
816
#32
9.71.6
18.517.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Third
9993
#16
8.56.4
15.89.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
blue by 0.7
9989
#31
9.22.6
15.813.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed