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Red37
255910.1
201619.8
540716.6
Blue48
511317.9
70841.0
909446.1
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641680501001502002503748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
22Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
37Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#28
19.81.8
28.526.7
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End1.6
blue by 26.2
46.16.3
59.853.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End6.2
Second
5407
#23
16.61.8
20.418.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End4.2
blue by 24.5
708
#19
41.06.3
54.948.6
Auto7.0
Teleop28.9
End5.1
Third
2559
#14
10.11.8
15.413.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.4
blue by 7.8
17.96.3
22.215.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsMissed