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Red36
901552.4
34169.7
42311.4
Blue25
259037.8
32133.8
99987.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1951180501001502503003625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
12Total teleop13
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
36Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
69.78.9
85.876.9
Auto13.5
Teleop48.4
End7.8
red by 32.0
2590
#20
37.86.2
51.345.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End7.6
Second
52.48.9
55.646.7
Auto13.8
Teleop35.2
End3.4
red by 18.6
321
#15
33.86.2
50.544.3
Auto10.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Third
423
#11
11.48.9
22.313.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 4.2
9998
#24
7.210.3
15.85.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed