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Red59
42716.6
99848.5
48449.0
Blue70
568430.8
237714.2
30323.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100810501502002503005970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
41Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
59Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#22
49.02.2
55.853.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End5.6
red by 18.2
30.80.8
34.233.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.7
End8.7
Second
427
#26
16.62.2
19.617.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 6.5
303
#10
23.10.8
27.426.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End1.3
Third
9984
#18
8.53.6
15.812.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 5.8
2377
#27
14.20.8
20.319.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned