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Qual 112025 HAVOC
Red81
260765.8
42311.4
32133.8
Blue68
99848.5
121856.5
70841.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421370501002002508168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+5
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
27Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
18Foul points0
81Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.84.1
70.366.3
Auto18.6
Teleop38.8
End8.3
red by 9.4
56.53.6
63.259.6
Auto15.9
Teleop31.3
End9.3
Second
321
#15
33.84.1
40.336.2
Auto10.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
blue by 7.3
708
#19
41.03.6
46.142.5
Auto7.0
Teleop28.9
End5.1
Third
423
#11
11.44.1
13.49.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 3.0
9984
#18
8.55.9
12.36.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned