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Qual 122025 HAVOC
Red152
201619.8
518153.4
901552.4
Blue63
43326.3
255910.1
30323.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14955010020025030015263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+83Teleop
+87Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +69
21Coral scored#8
77Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
111Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#3
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
2Foul points0
152Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.41.3
51.753.0
Auto9.1
Teleop40.2
End4.1
red by 27.1
433
#12
26.30.7
28.227.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.2
End4.5
Second
52.41.3
45.746.9
Auto13.8
Teleop35.2
End3.4
red by 29.3
303
#10
23.10.7
22.621.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End1.3
Third
2016
#28Sur
19.81.3
22.623.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 9.7
2559
#14Sur
10.10.7
11.110.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed