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Qual 132025 HAVOC
Red134
540143.6
568430.8
99899.2
Blue159
511317.9
34169.7
171240.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109179050150200250300350134159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+31
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +15
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points82
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
109Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#4
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
12Foul points6
134Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#29
43.60.3
48.548.2
Auto4.3
Teleop36.8
End2.6
blue by 26.1
341
#4
69.70.8
74.473.7
Auto13.5
Teleop48.4
End7.8
Second
30.80.3
31.931.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.7
End8.7
blue by 9.8
1712
#25
40.60.8
39.839.0
Auto5.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Third
9989
#31
9.20.5
13.012.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 8.7
17.90.8
15.714.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned