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Qual 142025 HAVOC
Red132
909446.1
260765.8
121856.5
Blue71
48449.0
259037.8
237714.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19511305015025030035013271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points27
44Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
62Total teleop28
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
132Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.82.8
66.363.4
Auto18.6
Teleop38.8
End8.3
red by 16.8
484
#22
49.02.7
52.349.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End5.6
Second
56.52.8
59.656.8
Auto15.9
Teleop31.3
End9.3
red by 18.7
2590
#20
37.82.7
43.741.0
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End7.6
Third
46.12.8
48.845.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End6.2
red by 31.8
2377
#27
14.22.7
14.812.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned