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Qual 192025 HAVOC
Red107
121856.5
30323.1
99987.2
Blue97
255910.1
540143.6
10357.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8714205010020010797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
58Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points12
107Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.3
56.858.1
Auto15.9
Teleop31.3
End9.3
blue by 1.0
103
#13
57.52.0
56.754.7
Auto5.3
Teleop47.1
End5.1
Second
303
#10
23.11.3
21.923.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End1.3
blue by 20.5
5401
#29
43.62.0
48.246.2
Auto4.3
Teleop36.8
End2.6
Third
9998
#24
7.22.2
2.85.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 2.9
2559
#14
10.12.0
10.48.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned