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Qual 202025 HAVOC
Red108
43326.3
540716.6
518153.4
Blue57
42311.4
680824.6
568430.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197905010015020010857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
72Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
108Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.8
53.053.8
Auto9.1
Teleop40.2
End4.1
red by 22.6
30.81.0
31.630.7
Auto6.4
Teleop15.7
End8.7
Second
433
#12
26.30.8
27.628.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.2
End4.5
red by 1.7
6808
#30
24.61.0
27.126.1
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End2.0
Third
5407
#23
16.60.8
14.915.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End4.2
red by 5.1
423
#11
11.41.0
10.79.7
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned