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Qual 212025 HAVOC
Red125
32133.8
909446.1
164032.6
Blue51
99899.2
99858.3
42716.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146135010020025030012551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+58Teleop
+62Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#6
49Coral points22
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
18Processor points0
8Net points12
26Algae points12
75Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
18Foul points6
125Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.11.3
45.944.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End6.2
red by 29.4
427
#26
16.60.2
16.616.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Second
321
#15
33.81.3
36.235.0
Auto10.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 24.5
9989
#31
9.20.3
12.512.2
Auto0.9
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Third
1640
#17
32.61.3
33.532.2
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End2.7
red by 24.2
9985
#21
8.30.3
6.26.0
Auto0.4
Teleop8.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed