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Red74
99938.5
568430.8
259037.8
Blue42
30323.1
32133.8
201619.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801110501001502007442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
44Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
74Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#20
37.81.5
45.243.7
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End7.6
red by 4.0
321
#15
33.84.1
44.340.3
Auto10.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Second
30.81.5
33.431.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.7
End8.7
red by 7.7
303
#10
23.14.1
26.622.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End1.3
Third
9993
#16
8.52.4
9.47.0
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
blue by 11.3
2016
#28
19.84.1
26.722.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed