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Red53
164032.6
42716.6
43326.3
Blue102
70841.0
255910.1
34169.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8717905015020025030035053102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#14
23Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
31Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
53Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#17
32.62.2
38.135.9
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End2.7
blue by 37.1
341
#4
69.72.5
76.974.4
Auto13.5
Teleop48.4
End7.8
Second
433
#12
26.32.2
30.428.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.2
End4.5
blue by 14.7
708
#19
41.02.5
48.646.1
Auto7.0
Teleop28.9
End5.1
Third
427
#26
16.62.2
17.515.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 6.5
2559
#14
10.12.5
13.511.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned