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Red77
909446.1
237714.2
10357.5
Blue121
518153.4
253955.0
540143.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14319905010025030077121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +40
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
64Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
77Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#13
57.54.7
63.258.5
Auto5.3
Teleop47.1
End5.1
red by 2.5
55.04.3
65.461.1
Auto13.3
Teleop35.7
End6.1
Second
46.14.7
53.548.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End6.2
blue by 7.3
53.44.3
56.051.7
Auto9.1
Teleop40.2
End4.1
Third
2377
#27
14.24.7
19.514.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 29.4
5401
#29
43.64.3
52.848.5
Auto4.3
Teleop36.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed