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Red184
34164.4
1014313.5
253969.3
Blue135
121855.4
116840.7
223414.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16111150100150200184135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +40
21Coral scored#13
76Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
112Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points0
184Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.7
68.669.3
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 13.9
55.40.6
54.855.4
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
341
#2
64.40.7
63.764.4
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 23.7
40.70.6
40.140.7
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
13.50.7
12.713.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 1.0
2234
#26
14.40.6
13.914.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8