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Red166
34164.4
1014313.5
253969.3
Blue129
121855.4
116840.7
223414.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16011050100150200166129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
102Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#6
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
166Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.5
68.168.6
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 13.9
55.40.5
54.354.8
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
341
#2
64.40.5
63.263.7
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 23.7
40.70.5
39.640.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
13.50.5
12.212.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 1.0
2234
#26
14.40.5
13.413.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8