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Red117
121855.4
116840.7
223414.4
Blue117
139145.2
901416.2
518143.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161108090100120130140150117117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
68Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
117Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.1
54.354.3
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 10.2
45.20.3
44.945.2
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
Second
40.70.1
39.539.6
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 2.7
43.40.3
43.143.4
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
Third
2234
#26
14.40.1
13.313.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 1.8
9014
#17
16.20.3
15.916.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3