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Red114
139145.2
901416.2
518143.4
Blue69
1000116.1
437333.8
434239.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109440608010012014016018011469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points18
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
78Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
114Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.1
44.944.9
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
red by 5.4
4342
#10
39.80.5
40.339.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Second
43.40.1
43.043.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
red by 9.5
33.80.5
34.333.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
Third
9014
#17
16.20.1
15.815.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 0.1
16.10.5
16.616.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6