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Red151
34164.4
1014313.5
253969.3
Blue121
121855.4
116840.7
223414.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16110950100150200151121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
95Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
151Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.2
67.968.1
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 13.9
55.40.3
53.954.3
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
341
#2
64.40.2
63.063.2
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 23.7
40.70.3
39.239.5
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
13.50.2
12.012.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 1.0
2234
#26
14.40.3
13.013.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8