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Red173
121855.4
909434.7
253969.3
Blue90
1007024.7
27235.8
139145.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146995020017390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+65Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
23Coral scored#12
81Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
105Total teleop65
Reef
11L4#6
10L3#4
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#20
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
173Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.33.2
52.956.1
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 24.1
45.20.2
36.536.3
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
Second
55.43.2
41.845.0
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 19.6
272
#18
35.80.2
35.535.4
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Third
34.75.3
30.235.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
red by 10.1
24.70.1
19.519.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed