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Red115
437333.8
116840.7
811727.0
Blue89
518143.4
245821.3
511321.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877540608010012011589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
88Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
115Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.4
26.829.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 2.7
43.41.1
33.935.0
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
Second
33.83.9
23.127.0
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
red by 12.3
5113
#12
21.51.9
17.819.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
8117
#20
27.02.4
27.229.5
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
red by 5.7
2458
#13
21.31.9
17.719.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed