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Red155
223414.4
434239.8
34164.4
Blue35
463715.2
540720.4
1000116.1
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296005010015015535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+96Teleop
+108Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +82
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points12
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
24Processor points6
28Net points4
52Algae points10
104Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
28Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
12Foul points0
155Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
64.42.1
59.962.0
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 44.0
5407
#14
20.41.7
18.316.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Second
4342
#10
39.82.1
36.038.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
red by 23.7
16.12.8
19.016.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Third
2234
#26
14.42.1
10.412.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 0.8
4637
#21
15.22.8
17.314.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed