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Red147
1058423.9
253969.3
139145.2
Blue97
27235.8
811727.0
518143.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010640608014016018014797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points37
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
91Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
147Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.32.5
56.158.7
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 26.0
43.40.2
35.034.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
Second
45.24.2
36.340.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
red by 9.4
272
#18
35.80.3
35.435.0
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Third
23.92.5
16.419.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4
blue by 3.0
8117
#20
27.00.2
29.529.3
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed