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Red93
34164.4
70911.9
42322.3
Blue82
540720.4
434239.8
245821.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068240601201401609382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
56Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
93Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
64.40.1
62.062.1
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 24.6
4342
#10
39.80.3
38.138.4
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Second
423
#9
22.30.1
17.617.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
red by 1.0
2458
#13
21.30.5
19.520.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Third
709
#24
11.90.1
9.59.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 8.5
5407
#14
20.40.3
16.616.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed