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Red81
139145.2
437333.8
1000116.1
Blue77
1058423.9
901416.2
116840.7
84%Model gave it16%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9663501508177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
44Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
81Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.6
40.540.0
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
red by 4.6
40.70.9
29.130.0
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Second
33.80.6
29.529.0
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
red by 9.9
23.90.9
19.019.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4
Third
16.10.6
16.215.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 0.1
9014
#17
16.21.4
16.117.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed