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Red126
518143.4
209516.6
909434.7
Blue58
1065322.1
1014313.5
463715.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9941020608012014016012658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+46Teleop
+48Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
20Foul points0
126Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.8
34.835.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
red by 21.2
22.10.3
22.823.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Second
34.71.4
34.135.5
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
red by 19.5
4637
#21
15.20.4
13.614.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
2095
#11
16.60.8
16.917.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1
red by 3.1
13.50.4
8.59.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned