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Red107
811727.0
34164.4
540720.4
Blue97
511321.5
121855.4
1023217.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309240608010012014016018010797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
66Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points8
107Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
64.40.1
62.162.0
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 9.0
55.40.4
46.546.9
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
8117
#20
27.00.1
29.329.2
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
red by 5.4
5113
#12
21.50.7
20.321.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
5407
#14
20.40.1
16.916.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 3.3
17.00.7
15.816.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned