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Red84
1000116.1
116840.7
245821.3
Blue159
434239.8
70911.9
253969.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111405010015084159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+63
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +54
8Coral scored#23
29Coral points83
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
47Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#6
2L2#10
1L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points12
84Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.7
30.030.7
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 28.7
69.32.1
58.760.8
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
Second
2458
#13
21.31.2
20.121.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
blue by 18.5
4342
#10
39.82.1
38.440.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Third
16.11.2
15.616.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 4.2
709
#24
11.92.1
9.611.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned