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Red62
1023217.0
139145.2
540720.4
Blue110
518143.4
1058423.9
463715.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8679406010012014062110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
30Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
12Foul points12
62Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.22.6
40.037.4
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
red by 1.9
43.41.9
35.637.5
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
Second
5407
#14
20.41.6
16.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
blue by 3.6
23.91.9
19.821.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4
Third
17.02.6
16.513.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 1.9
4637
#21
15.23.2
14.117.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned