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Red126
901416.2
511321.5
34164.4
Blue69
1014313.5
116840.7
70911.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11546010015012669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#6
54Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
68Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
126Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
64.41.3
62.063.3
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 23.7
40.71.2
30.731.9
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Second
5113
#12
21.52.2
21.023.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
red by 8.1
13.52.0
9.010.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Third
9014
#17
16.22.2
17.519.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 4.3
709
#24
11.91.2
11.712.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned