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Red58
42322.3
1000116.1
1023217.0
Blue120
437333.8
27235.8
511321.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4497020608012014016058120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
43Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points36
58Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
423
#9
22.30.6
18.619.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 13.5
272
#18
35.80.3
36.436.1
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
17.01.0
13.915.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 16.8
33.80.3
27.427.1
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
Third
16.11.0
16.117.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 5.4
5113
#12
21.50.3
23.222.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned