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Red130
1065322.1
518143.4
434239.8
Blue144
139145.2
811727.0
121855.4
18%Model gave it82%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031306080120140160180200130144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+22
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#20
68Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
92Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
8Foul points0
130Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.5
37.539.0
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
blue by 12.0
55.41.9
49.551.4
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
4342
#10
39.81.5
39.641.0
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
blue by 5.4
45.23.1
37.440.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
Third
22.11.5
22.624.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 4.8
8117
#20
27.01.9
28.830.7
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned