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Red82
1000116.1
463715.2
511321.5
Blue65
1023217.0
245821.3
27235.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5479020401001201408265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
58Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
82Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5113
#12
21.51.0
22.923.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 14.3
272
#18
35.81.2
36.134.8
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
16.11.0
17.118.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 5.2
2458
#13
21.31.2
19.718.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Third
4637
#21
15.21.0
14.515.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 1.9
17.01.2
15.013.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned