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Red122
901416.2
518143.4
139145.2
Blue45
209516.6
811727.0
434239.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10096020030040012245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +50
14Coral scored#5
51Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
75Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#2
9L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
122Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.22.8
40.543.3
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
red by 5.4
4342
#10
39.83.1
41.038.0
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Second
43.41.8
39.040.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
red by 16.4
8117
#20
27.03.1
30.727.6
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Third
9014
#17
16.22.8
15.318.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 0.3
2095
#11
16.63.1
19.516.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed