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Red57
1058423.9
1007024.7
1023217.0
Blue55
909434.7
70911.9
1000116.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6160203040507080901005755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#7
28Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
38Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
57Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
22.422.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 10.1
34.70.6
28.227.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Second
23.90.2
21.621.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4
red by 7.8
16.10.5
18.117.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Third
17.00.3
13.813.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 5.1
709
#24
11.90.4
11.210.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed